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We got things cooking with our Week 1 player prop bets by going 4-1. As you get prepared for NFL Sunday, keep these props in mind.
Deshaun Watson over 21.5 completions
The obvious downside here is Watson faces a Baltimore Ravens unit that finished No. 5 in DVOA defense last season and just held the Cleveland Browns to 4.5 yards per play in Week 1. However, he’s going to get his opportunities to put up numbers.
The Houston Texans had a 70-30 pass-run split when they trailed by more than a touchdown last season. A week after getting embarrassed by the Kansas City Chiefs, Houston will be in catch-up mode all game as a seven-point home underdog.
Aaron Rodgers over 265.5 passing yards
Rodgers couldn’t be stopped in the opener against the Minnesota Vikings. He threw for 364 yards and four scores as the Green Bay Packers averaged close to seven yards per play. That may have been the start of Rodgers’ revenge tour, which will continue in Week 2 against the Detroit Lions.
A Detroit secondary that parted ways with Darius Slay this offseason just lost cornerback Justin Coleman to injury. Once Coleman left Sunday’s game against the Chicago Bears, quarterback Mitchell Trubisky lit up the secondary en route to a fourth-quarter comeback.
Green Bay’s wide receivers ran amok in the opener and should go off again in Week 2.
Parris Campbell over 4.5 receptions
Indianapolis Colts wide receivers will be licking their chops on Sunday. A Minnesota defense that cut ties with a majority of last season’s secondary is now expecting a handful of younger players to shoulder the load. The unit wasn’t up for the challenge in the opener when it allowed 11.4 yards per completion to Rodgers and Co.
Colts quarterback Philip Rivers developed a nice rapport with Campbell in the opener, hooking up with the second-year receiver six times for 71 yards. Expect more of that in a game featuring one of the higher totals on the board.
Tyrod Taylor under 221.5 passing yards
Taylor might be the safest option under center for the Los Angeles Chargers, but the veteran quarterback limits the offense through the air. He lived up to his game-manager tag in the opener, going just 16-of-30 with 208 yards against a porous Cincinnati Bengals defense.
He averaged fewer than seven yards per attempt in Week 1 and will try to play keep-away from a potent Chiefs offense, so expect another low number for the Chargers signal-caller.
Teddy Bridgewater longest completion over 36.5 yards
I love this play on Bridgewater. The Carolina Panthers are around eight-point underdogs to Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who possess a strong run defense but a rather leaky secondary.
The Panthers have athleticism in the skill corps, as Bridgewater connected with newcomer Robby Anderson on a 75-yarder against the Las Vegas Raiders last weekend, which is good news for the vertical passing game.
Bridgewater will have a couple more splash plays up his sleeve this weekend.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He’s a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from “Rounders” and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.